As of this writing, there are a minimum of five studies in the U.S. to determine whether wearable health-and-fitness monitors can predict the COVID-19 infection before noticeable symptoms actually occur. They’re looking at masses of data, rather than individual data points. Some are trying to predict how severe the infection will become using the data, which would allow a city, county, region, or even a state to move the necessary resources to the locations where outbreaks will occur. It would be a real step forward in the use of digital monitoring for tracking the potential outbreaks of disease.

While I hope they’re successful, there are two problems. The devices are expensive and only about 20% of the U.S. population actually owns them; how many use them is another whole question. Fitbits and Apple Watches are purchased by the type of people who are already interested in their health. This would limit the applicability to the general population.

The second problem is that it doesn’t do an individual any good at this point. Because the data are collected anonymously, no one could be informed if they’re at risk. As more treatments are discovered, early treatment may limit the severity of any long-term effects, but that doesn’t really help if you don’t know your data.

The issue is the right to privacy and especially health information privacy. I understand that and agree with it, but there should be some way an individual could be notified. Maybe this is the point where artificial intelligence could be used to keep human eyes out of it. And when we get to that point, odds are good that insurance will cover such devices because it always cost less to treat disease in its initial stages.

If you own such a device, such as a Fitbit, Apple Watch, Oura, Garmin, or other device, there’s a list of research studies at the end of this Memo along with the contact information I could find. Check them out. The more we know, the better prepared we can be for this or any other potential epidemic in the future.

What are you prepared to do today?

        Dr. Chet

Wearable Device Study Information:
Duke Covidentify: https://bit.ly/2XXTAp6
Scripps Detect Study: https://bit.ly/3gWkMNy
Stanford Covid-19 Detection Study: https://stanford.io/2XuTGWa
RNI Wearable Devices for Covid Monitoring: https://bit.ly/37022IB